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Red23
8064.3
166013.3
11558.0
Blue52
75910.3
69411.0
42111.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253301020405060702352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
Unranked
13.30.1
13.413.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
421
Unranked
11.80.4
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1155
Unranked
8.00.1
8.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
694
Unranked
11.00.4
10.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
806
Unranked
4.30.1
4.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
759
Unranked
10.30.4
9.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End