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Red54
18628.3
12244.5
39522.9
Blue34
38014.1
159710.4
3311.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331701030405060705434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
22.91.1
21.422.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
380
Unranked
14.11.2
8.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1862
Unranked
8.31.9
4.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1597
Unranked
10.40.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1224
Unranked
4.51.9
5.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
331
Unranked
1.81.2
1.83.0
Auto
Teleop
End