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Red40
7527.6
159710.4
39522.9
Blue30
15946.9
12305.7
37526.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383301020506070804030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
22.90.2
20.020.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
375
Unranked
26.20.2
22.121.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
10.40.2
8.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
1594
Unranked
6.90.3
6.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
752
Unranked
7.60.3
8.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1230
Unranked
5.70.2
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End