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Red22
166013.3
7115.4
12376.8
Blue19
5965.4
35412.1
15203.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122204060802219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
Unranked
13.30.7
7.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
354
Unranked
12.10.1
10.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1237
Unranked
6.80.7
3.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
596
Unranked
5.40.1
5.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
711
Unranked
5.40.7
1.72.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1520
Unranked
3.70.1
4.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End