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Red16
7527.6
8064.3
39522.9
Blue9
13404.0
17725.1
3311.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4390203050607080169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
22.91.1
22.821.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.8
1772
Unranked
5.10.4
5.35.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
752
Unranked
7.61.9
9.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1340
Unranked
4.00.4
4.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
806
Unranked
4.31.9
7.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
331
Unranked
1.80.4
3.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End