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Red23
166013.3
12115.8
159710.4
Blue27
139610.7
188010.2
6403.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322301020405060702327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1660
Unranked
13.30.5
14.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1396
Unranked
10.70.2
11.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1597
Unranked
10.40.4
11.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1880
Unranked
10.20.2
8.99.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1211
Unranked
5.80.6
5.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
640
Unranked
3.50.2
4.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End