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Red50
35412.1
12115.8
34821.1
Blue26
12376.8
69411.0
75910.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39260102030506070805026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
21.10.8
20.721.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
694
Unranked
11.00.1
10.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
354
Unranked
12.10.7
11.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
759
Unranked
10.30.1
9.99.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1211
Unranked
5.80.8
5.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1237
Unranked
6.80.1
6.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End