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Red25
87214.8
12787.6
27215.6
Blue9
12705.4
1585.4
13518.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362406080100259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
15.60.8
15.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
135
Unranked
18.91.4
10.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
872
Unranked
14.80.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
1270
Unranked
5.41.4
8.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1278
Unranked
7.60.8
7.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
158
Unranked
5.41.4
7.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End