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Red12
4813.3
13518.9
12742.7
Blue0
17478.3
9705.0
70322.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33210406080120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
Unranked
18.91.6
11.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
703
Unranked
22.91.9
10.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
Unranked
13.31.4
12.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1747
Unranked
8.39.9
14.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1274
Unranked
2.71.6
8.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
970
Unranked
5.01.9
5.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End