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Red26
13081.2
15909.9
17478.3
Blue3
1207.9
709.0
16469.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1620010304050263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1590
Unranked
9.90.8
8.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1646
Unranked
9.71.4
7.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
Unranked
8.30.8
4.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
70
Unranked
9.01.4
3.72.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1308
Unranked
1.20.8
3.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
120
Unranked
7.91.4
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End