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Red40
49423.1
16753.8
12486.4
Blue23
12304.8
17410.5
12705.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27240204060804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
23.11.1
13.815.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
174
Unranked
10.50.1
14.114.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1248
Unranked
6.41.1
6.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1270
Unranked
5.40.1
6.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1675
Unranked
3.81.1
6.37.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1230
Unranked
4.80.1
4.24.1
Auto
Teleop
End