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Qual 492006 Buckeye Regional
Red38
16469.7
12705.4
17478.3
Blue3
15324.0
9643.9
3827.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21190406080100383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
Unranked
9.71.4
9.3→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
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red by 2.5
382
Unranked
7.21.4
11.2→9.8
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Teleop—
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Second
1747
Unranked
8.31.4
5.4→6.8
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Teleop—
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red by 4.3
1532
Unranked
4.01.4
4.9→3.5
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Teleop—
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Third
1270
Unranked
5.41.4
6.2→7.6
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Teleop—
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red by 1.5
964
Unranked
3.91.4
3.4→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—