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Red21
12742.7
4618.7
1585.4
Blue3
12486.4
709.0
1207.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22130304050607080213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
8.70.0
10.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
70
Unranked
9.00.9
1.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
158
Unranked
5.40.0
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
120
Unranked
7.90.9
5.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1274
Unranked
2.70.0
5.45.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1248
Unranked
6.40.9
6.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End