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Red5
16469.7
9705.0
16753.8
Blue50
12787.6
69510.7
87214.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2224010304050550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
Unranked
9.71.4
10.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
872
Unranked
14.82.0
12.714.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
970
Unranked
5.01.4
4.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
695
Unranked
10.72.0
6.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1675
Unranked
3.81.4
7.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1278
Unranked
7.62.0
5.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End