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Red20
102418.4
2765.9
69510.7
Blue9
17874.1
12486.4
101812.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26180406080209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
18.40.4
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1018
Unranked
12.10.8
7.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
Unranked
10.70.4
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1248
Unranked
6.40.8
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
276
Unranked
5.90.4
9.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1787
Unranked
4.11.0
4.15.1
Auto
Teleop
End