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Red2
12705.4
13081.2
4813.3
Blue11
1585.4
9705.0
12742.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26130203040506070211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
Unranked
13.31.1
14.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
158
Unranked
5.40.2
6.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1270
Unranked
5.41.3
6.85.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
970
Unranked
5.00.2
5.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1308
Unranked
1.21.5
2.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1274
Unranked
2.70.2
2.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End