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Red5
16053.9
15643.4
13973.1
Blue18
124120.3
10755.8
6514.7
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847020406080518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1605
Unranked
3.90.4
3.93.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
1241
Unranked
20.31.5
19.718.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1564
Unranked
3.40.7
2.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
65
Unranked
14.71.6
14.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1397
Unranked
3.10.7
6.65.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
1075
Unranked
5.82.0
7.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End