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Red14
12445.5
6311.0
10537.9
Blue15
8433.9
13304.0
13123.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24140102030405060701415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63
Unranked
11.00.4
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1330
Unranked
4.00.0
5.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1053
Unranked
7.90.7
9.38.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
843
Unranked
3.90.0
3.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1244
Unranked
5.50.7
5.44.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1312
Unranked
3.30.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End