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Red0
18700.3
8864.2
14045.9
Blue21
52213.1
11125.3
13551.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192601030405060021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1404
Unranked
5.91.6
8.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
522
Unranked
13.10.3
13.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
886
Unranked
4.21.6
5.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1112
Unranked
5.30.2
5.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1870
Unranked
0.31.6
5.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1355
Unranked
1.80.3
6.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End