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Red28
18700.3
4917.0
10537.9
Blue12
9126.0
11418.7
10755.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921010405060702812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49
Unranked
17.00.0
15.115.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1141
Unranked
8.70.8
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1053
Unranked
7.90.0
8.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
912
Unranked
6.00.5
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1870
Unranked
0.30.0
4.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
1075
Unranked
5.80.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End