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Red3
9197.8
13123.3
16206.2
Blue25
11125.3
18462.5
13250.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201401030405060325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
919
Unranked
7.81.4
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1112
Unranked
5.30.5
4.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1620
Unranked
6.21.4
5.74.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1846
Unranked
2.50.5
5.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1312
Unranked
3.31.4
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1325
Unranked
0.90.8
4.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End