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Red14
16206.2
131010.4
12214.0
Blue10
8864.2
16053.9
13924.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18130103040501410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
Unranked
10.40.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1392
Unranked
4.70.3
5.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1620
Unranked
6.20.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
886
Unranked
4.20.3
4.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1221
Unranked
4.00.3
4.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1605
Unranked
3.90.2
3.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End