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Red4
18144.6
13973.1
9126.0
Blue32
135311.1
12467.4
12815.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2017010304050607080432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
912
Unranked
6.00.8
5.95.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1353
Unranked
11.11.2
7.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1814
Unranked
4.63.9
8.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
1246
Unranked
7.40.7
5.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1397
Unranked
3.11.3
7.96.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1281
Unranked
5.40.7
4.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End