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Red39
52213.1
19353.7
121915.5
Blue55
10537.9
18354.4
21726.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283501020405060703955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1219
Unranked
15.50.5
14.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.3
217
Unranked
26.81.0
24.325.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
Unranked
13.10.5
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1053
Unranked
7.91.7
6.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1935
Unranked
3.70.8
2.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1835
Unranked
4.41.7
3.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End