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Red24
14829.5
8864.2
18158.1
Blue35
10755.8
10847.5
7819.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16180103040502435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
Unranked
9.50.6
6.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
781
Unranked
9.00.8
7.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1815
Unranked
8.10.4
5.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1084
Unranked
7.50.8
6.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
886
Unranked
4.20.6
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1075
Unranked
5.81.4
4.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End