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Red34
9197.8
18144.6
37819.8
Blue22
13469.9
8864.2
77215.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3131102040503422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
19.80.1
19.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
772
Unranked
15.30.4
15.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
919
Unranked
7.80.2
7.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1346
Unranked
9.90.4
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1814
Unranked
4.60.2
4.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
886
Unranked
4.20.7
4.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End