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Red20
70341.4
8433.9
16053.9
Blue2
8494.7
4812.3
10847.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4727020406080100202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
Unranked
41.41.2
34.132.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
48
Unranked
12.31.4
13.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
843
Unranked
3.91.8
5.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
1084
Unranked
7.51.4
9.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1605
Unranked
3.91.2
5.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
849
Unranked
4.72.3
6.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End