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Red18
10322.9
34123.0
52814.9
Blue43
15714.0
17314.1
38116.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6642020801001201401843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
23.00.7
23.723.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
381
Unranked
16.00.0
16.416.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
103
Unranked
22.90.7
23.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
173
Unranked
14.10.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
528
Unranked
14.90.7
15.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
157
Unranked
14.00.0
14.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End