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Qual 112006 Philadelphia Regional
Red41
13947.9
8424.1
13707.6
Blue15
15714.0
3166.6
4235.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292204060804115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84
Unranked
24.10.6
15.7→16.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
157
Unranked
14.00.5
13.0→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1394
Unranked
7.91.0
4.4→5.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
316
Unranked
6.60.5
8.1→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1370
Unranked
7.60.6
8.4→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.7
423
Unranked
5.80.4
2.1→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—