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Red50
3045.7
17718.7
52814.9
Blue22
25017.0
3213.2
17314.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31260102040506070805022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
18.71.6
11.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
250
Unranked
17.00.2
9.59.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
528
Unranked
14.91.2
12.413.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
173
Unranked
14.10.4
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
Unranked
5.71.6
6.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
321
Unranked
3.20.4
3.02.6
Auto
Teleop
End