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Red43
17126.7
25017.0
15714.0
Blue35
30612.4
13947.9
83410.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332001040506070804335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
Unranked
17.00.6
9.39.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
306
Unranked
12.40.7
11.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
157
Unranked
14.00.6
13.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
834
Unranked
10.51.1
5.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1712
Unranked
6.71.0
8.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1394
Unranked
7.91.1
4.45.5
Auto
Teleop
End