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Red101
28414.2
36525.9
25017.0
Blue13
139110.5
3003.7
13947.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4524040608010010113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
25.92.9
21.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
1391
Unranked
10.50.7
11.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
17.02.9
12.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1394
Unranked
7.91.2
11.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
284
Unranked
14.24.9
8.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
300
Unranked
3.71.2
3.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End