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Red40
48418.0
139110.5
83410.5
Blue50
13845.8
38116.0
52814.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403502060804050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
Unranked
18.00.0
17.317.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
381
Unranked
16.00.7
15.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
Unranked
10.50.0
11.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
528
Unranked
14.90.7
16.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
834
Unranked
10.50.0
11.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1384
Unranked
5.81.0
3.34.3
Auto
Teleop
End