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Red65
27222.8
25017.0
56320.1
Blue9
48619.6
13707.6
7086.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583702080100120659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
22.80.5
20.821.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
486
Unranked
19.61.5
22.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
563
Unranked
20.10.5
18.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1370
Unranked
7.61.5
7.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
250
Unranked
17.00.5
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
708
Unranked
6.22.2
10.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End