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Red38
28414.2
71619.5
11437.5
Blue21
17314.1
83410.5
4445.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2829010204050603821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
Unranked
19.50.8
15.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
173
Unranked
14.10.6
14.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
284
Unranked
14.20.8
6.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
834
Unranked
10.50.6
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1143
Unranked
7.50.8
6.16.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
444
Unranked
5.20.6
6.76.1
Auto
Teleop
End