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Red16
88811.7
1176.2
3986.1
Blue5
8688.7
80810.0
162915.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19300104050607080165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
Unranked
11.70.4
8.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1629
Unranked
15.216.1
20.04.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
117
Unranked
6.20.4
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
808
Unranked
10.02.0
10.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
398
Unranked
6.10.4
7.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
868
Unranked
8.72.0
12.010.0
Auto
Teleop
End