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Red36
8596.6
13919.5
29118.2
Blue15
12811.9
637.9
13866.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250204060803615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
18.20.4
12.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
128
Unranked
11.90.9
10.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1391
Unranked
9.50.4
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
63
Unranked
7.90.9
9.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
859
Unranked
6.60.4
7.68.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1386
Unranked
6.60.9
6.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End