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Red9
8596.6
88811.7
17435.5
Blue51
17277.7
3986.1
103816.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31180104050607080951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
Unranked
11.71.7
12.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1038
Unranked
16.12.6
10.613.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
859
Unranked
6.61.7
9.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1727
Unranked
7.72.6
5.68.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
5.51.7
7.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
398
Unranked
6.12.6
3.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End