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Red22
17435.5
30612.9
12811.9
Blue28
4232.6
103816.1
13919.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262701020304050602228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
306
Unranked
12.90.4
10.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1038
Unranked
16.10.2
8.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
128
Unranked
11.90.4
10.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1391
Unranked
9.50.2
11.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
5.51.1
4.55.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
423
Unranked
2.60.3
5.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End