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Red25
39312.2
36515.5
17435.5
Blue26
8596.6
80810.0
3377.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2922010405060702526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
15.50.2
12.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
808
Unranked
10.00.2
7.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
393
Unranked
12.20.2
10.19.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
337
Unranked
7.00.2
8.18.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
5.50.2
5.45.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
859
Unranked
6.60.2
6.97.1
Auto
Teleop
End