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Red28
12811.9
8688.7
3377.0
Blue6
17277.7
13709.4
8596.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2921010405060286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
11.90.0
11.511.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1370
Unranked
9.41.0
8.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
868
Unranked
8.70.0
8.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1727
Unranked
7.71.0
6.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
337
Unranked
7.00.0
8.08.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
859
Unranked
6.61.0
7.56.5
Auto
Teleop
End