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Red28
637.9
12811.9
13866.6
Blue15
4232.6
8596.6
17086.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261901040506070802815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128
Unranked
11.90.2
10.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
859
Unranked
6.60.4
8.07.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
7.90.2
9.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1708
Unranked
6.30.4
5.75.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1386
Unranked
6.60.2
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
423
Unranked
2.60.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End