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Red45
39520.0
103816.1
17435.5
Blue12
637.9
36515.5
8596.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412902060804512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
20.00.1
19.419.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
365
Unranked
15.50.3
15.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
Unranked
16.10.1
15.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
63
Unranked
7.90.3
8.17.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
Unranked
5.50.1
4.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
859
Unranked
6.60.3
6.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End