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Red30
158511.6
159115.6
14511.0
Blue0
190111.5
8413.9
77212.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40390102030506070300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
Unranked
15.60.2
15.915.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
84
Unranked
13.90.7
14.613.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1585
Unranked
11.60.2
11.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
772
Unranked
12.00.7
12.712.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
145
Unranked
11.00.2
11.411.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1901
Unranked
11.50.7
12.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End