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Red23
19119.9
25010.3
2114.1
Blue0
27114.9
6399.2
151113.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36400206080100230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
19.90.2
20.720.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
271
Unranked
14.90.7
15.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
10.30.2
11.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1511
Unranked
13.40.7
14.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
211
Unranked
4.10.2
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
639
Unranked
9.20.7
10.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End