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Red26
15519.1
6399.2
19119.9
Blue8
155916.1
34010.2
1765-3.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32220406080100268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
19.90.4
15.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
1559
Unranked
16.11.3
12.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
639
Unranked
9.20.4
9.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
340
Unranked
10.21.3
9.58.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1551
Unranked
9.10.4
6.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
1765
Unranked
-3.51.3
1.40.1
Auto
Teleop
End