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Red6
25010.3
18816.7
2114.1
Blue90
57816.2
190111.5
112636.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29410206080100690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
16.72.0
12.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.9
1126
Unranked
36.74.2
21.325.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
10.32.0
11.99.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
578
Unranked
16.24.2
9.113.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
211
Unranked
4.12.0
6.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
1901
Unranked
11.54.2
9.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End