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Red11
15519.1
150711.3
1531-0.3
Blue23
15677.3
17136.5
1765-3.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28702040506070801123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
Unranked
11.31.2
15.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1567
Unranked
7.31.1
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1551
Unranked
9.11.2
7.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
1713
Unranked
6.51.1
4.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1531
Unranked
-0.31.2
2.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1765
Unranked
-3.51.1
-0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End