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Red36
25010.3
1765-3.5
37817.1
Blue25
151814.5
2114.1
190111.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26340102040506070803625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
Unranked
17.10.7
17.217.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1518
Unranked
14.50.6
14.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
10.30.7
9.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1901
Unranked
11.50.6
14.614.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
Unranked
-3.50.7
0.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
211
Unranked
4.10.6
3.73.1
Auto
Teleop
End