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Red21
8413.9
1765-3.5
27114.9
Blue16
190111.5
151814.5
2114.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36300204060802116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
271
Unranked
14.91.0
14.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1518
Unranked
14.51.1
13.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
84
Unranked
13.91.0
18.817.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1901
Unranked
11.51.1
14.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
Unranked
-3.51.0
1.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
211
Unranked
4.11.1
3.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End